Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.409329 1.657730 1.916998 2.206196 2.518244 2.843405 3.206465
2024-12-22 1.026880 1.367477 1.745571 2.189540 2.690315 3.232164 3.857510
2024-12-29 0.839432 1.225651 1.673533 2.217517 2.848155 3.545766 4.365962
2025-01-05 0.686232 1.100598 1.602169 2.230683 2.977163 3.818595 4.823174
2025-01-12 0.547015 0.970086 1.505281 2.196554 3.036251 3.998911 5.163789
2025-01-19 0.494886 0.945129 1.532841 2.307671 3.262806 4.369678 5.720367
2025-01-26 0.454481 0.929714 1.567827 2.424193 3.493038 4.742811 6.278403
2025-02-02 0.425165 0.925609 1.614535 2.553218 3.737009 5.131394 6.854268
2025-02-09 0.406109 0.933630 1.675472 2.699061 4.000884 5.543396 7.457803
2025-02-16 0.369495 0.909885 1.690011 2.782736 4.186337 5.860884 7.949824
2025-02-23 0.320080 0.859305 1.663015 2.808859 4.297588 6.087565 8.333380
2025-03-02 0.245468 0.755087 1.552130 2.717713 4.256433 6.126376 8.490875
2025-03-09 0.180895 0.659278 1.450889 2.641405 4.239975 6.204397 8.708332
2025-03-16 0.135412 0.588889 1.381598 2.604616 4.271632 6.339963 8.994393
2025-03-23 0.110865 0.556045 1.367249 2.641952 4.397694 6.590550 9.417863
2025-03-30 0.086120 0.515600 1.336976 2.654157 4.489081 6.797055 9.787418
2025-04-06 0.059498 0.459689 1.275539 2.617349 4.512390 6.916086 10.048526
2025-04-13 0.055332 0.466439 1.321794 2.739465 4.749870 7.306238 10.643294
2025-04-20 0.052183 0.475547 1.372052 2.867669 4.995934 7.707797 11.252848
2025-04-27 0.050630 0.489503 1.431014 3.009190 5.260530 8.133507 11.892989
2025-05-04 0.050960 0.509906 1.501797 3.168879 5.550371 8.591980 12.574388
2025-05-11 0.044805 0.505805 1.527572 3.260335 5.747174 8.932148 13.110096
2025-05-18 0.034207 0.480470 1.512637 3.288869 5.857243 9.161256 13.508314